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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Boeing: I'm afraid the new version of Air Force One will not be in place until 2029 at the earliest.China calls for supporting Afghanistan to rebuild its financial system and eradicate the breeding ground for terrorism. On December 12, local time, the UN Security Council reviewed the situation in Afghanistan, paying attention to the serious restrictions on women's rights and interests in the country and the still insufficient humanitarian funds. The Chinese representative pointed out that Afghanistan is currently at a critical stage of peaceful reconstruction, and the international community should play a better role in solving the outstanding problems facing Afghanistan. Fu Cong, Permanent Representative of China to the United Nations, pointed out that humanitarian relief concerns the vital interests of all Afghan people and must not be used as a bargaining chip for political pressure. China calls on traditional donors to increase capital investment, especially on the United States to unconditionally unfreeze and fully return overseas assets belonging to the Afghan people. Affected by unilateral sanctions, Afghanistan's banking system has been isolated from the international financial system for a long time. Relevant countries should immediately and unconditionally lift illegal unilateral sanctions and support Afghanistan in rebuilding its financial system.

China Air China: Passenger turnover increased by 22% year-on-year in November. Air China announced that the combined passenger turnover of the company and its subsidiaries increased by 22% year-on-year in November 2024. Passenger transport capacity investment increased by 12.9% year-on-year, of which domestic passenger transport capacity investment increased by 3.2%, international passenger transport capacity investment increased by 43.7%, and regional passenger transport capacity investment increased by 19%. In terms of freight transportation, the input of freight transportation capacity increased by 18.4% year-on-year, and the turnover of freight and mail increased by 20.9% year-on-year. In November, one ARJ21-700 aircraft and one C919 aircraft were introduced. By the end of November, the total number of operating aircraft was 927.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Russia launched 93 missiles and 200 drones into Ukraine's energy system, which is one of the biggest attacks on Ukraine's energy system. Ukraine shot down 81 missiles, 11 of which were shot down by F-16 fighters.Industry: Concerns about the imbalance between supply and demand still exist, and there is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)

Pfizer announced an increase in its quarterly dividend, and American pharmaceutical giant Pfizer said on Thursday that it would increase its quarterly dividend by 2.4%, from 42 cents to 43 cents per share. The new dividend is equivalent to $1.72 per year, which means that the annual yield is about 6.8%. Albert Bourla, CEO of Pfizer, said that the dividend increase highlighted the company's strong financial performance, execution and commitment to return capital to shareholders.Market information: FTSE Film will increase the output of CMP slurry in Korea by 30%.Market News: The Israeli security cabinet said it would hold a meeting on Sunday to discuss the security development in the West Bank.